Categories
The Current Situation

What is “Short Selling”?

It’s quite telling that almost every article on the recent restrictions on short selling (or “shorting”) stocks includes a couple of paragraphs explaining what short selling is. The shortest explanation — “It’s making money by betting that a stock will go down” — is counterintuitive. The English idiom “to sell something/someone short” adds to the confusion, because it means “to underestimate the value of something/someone”, which is essentially the opposite of short selling.

In this article, I’m going to explain the basics of short selling and give you enough background material for you to read articles about the current state of the financial world without getting complete confused. And yes, I’ll make it fun.

Stock Market Jargon, Applied to Dating

Photo: Joey deVilla, with accordion, calls out to bored-looking possibly-a-model redhead.
Believe it or not, this is not a vodka ad, but an actual candid shot from a gala I attended.

About five years ago, I attended a gala and at one point had the accordion-assisted privilege of enjoying some cocktails with some very pretty ladies, an event I chronicled in this entry.

An excerpt:

At one point in the evening, I was having some Campari-and-sodas with a group of charming young women, all of whom were wearing The Little Black Dress. The one who was sitting beside me cupped her hand, turned to me and whispered “See that guy? My friend Lisa* longs him.”

(* Not her real name.)

I interpreted “longs” as “longs for”. However, later on in the conversation, some guy took a seat beside Lisa and started hitting on her with the grace of a rhino on NyQuil.

“Ugh,” said She Who Sat Beside Me. “She really shorts him. I think we’re all shorting him.”

That’s when it clicked. The girls all worked in the financial industry together; in fact, it seemed that most of the attendees at the gala were in finance or had at least written their CFA exam.

They’d adopted the terms longing and shorting for dating. If they liked someone, they “longed” him; if they didn’t, they “shorted” him.

The blog entry caught the attention of Globe and Mail editor Carol Toller and ended up being a short piece in the Our Town section in January 2004. This appearance gave it considerably more exposure, and for the next little while, I was approached by a number of friends and readers who suggested that I write an article explaining longing and shorting. I thought it was a good idea, and it sat in my “things to blog about” list for the next five years.

With the recent events on Wall Street, most notably the current ban on short selling shares of specific financial institutions, I thought that now might be a good time to take that article off the “to do” list and make it real.

“Longing”

This is the form of investing that makes intuitive sense. In longing, a.k.a. “buying long” or “going long”, you buy shares in a stock that you think will go up in value. At some later time, you sell them for more than you paid for them, and thus you make a profit.

Graphing illustrating "longing" in the stock market

Once more, with feeling:

  1. You buy some shares at a low price
  2. You wait for their price to increase
  3. You sell the shares at a higher price

The concept is so simple that I’m pretty sure that you already knew what longing was, even if you were unaware of the term.


It’s usually after this explanation of longing that people ask “Then how can you possibly make money on a stock that loses value? You’d have to be on the Bizarro World!”

To which I’d answer: “Exactly.”

Introducing Bizarro World!

Superman comics in the 1950s and 1960s were full of some painfully, stool-softeningly dumb ideas. One of them was the Bizarro World, the home of imperfect duplicates of Superman and Lois Lane, where everything is backwards.

On the Bizarro World, you enter through the exit and exit through the entrance:

Entrances and exits on Bizarro World

You demonstrate affection by throwing tantrums on Bizarro World:

Bizarro Lois Lane throws dishes at Bizarro Superman

You win Bizarro World races by coming in last place:

Racing in Bizarro World

On one Superman comic, Bizarro bonds are shown to be selling like hotcakes because they’re guaranteed to go down in value.

Since everything is (somewhat inconsistently) backwards in the Bizarro World, you, as a Bizarro investor might try to “go long” in reverse order:

  1. You sell the shares at a higher price
  2. You wait for their price to decrease
  3. You buy some shares at a low price

Believe it or not, that’s how shorting works.

Shorts Illustrated

Since the Bizarro World doesn’t exist, we’ll have to accept a couple of real world constraints.

The first is finding a way to sell shares you don’t own. In “regular” shorting (a.k.a. “covered” shorting), you borrow the shares from a broker who would typically have a lot of them and is willing to lend them out for a fee. (There is a way to sell shares you don’t own without first borrowing some. It’s called naked shorting and it’s the “extreme sports” of short selling.)

The second is to make sure that enough people in the market think that in the long term, the share value of the stock will go up. The broker keeps a pool of those stocks because s/he thinks that in the long term, they will appreciate. S/he’s happy to lend them out to short sellers who are planning to make money on the occasional dip in value, but believes that its price’s trend over time is upward.

And now, the basics of shorting, with special guest stars The Monopoly Guy and Mr. David Hasselhoff:

You approach a broker who has a pool of shares in a stock whose value you think will drop.

You borrow some of his shares in that stock...

...and sell those shares on the stock market.

You wait for the price to drop...

...and buy an equivalent number of shares in the same stock at the lower price.

You return the shares to the broker, keeping the difference between what you got when you initially sold the shares and what you paid when you bought their replacements.

Recommended Reading

Now that you’ve got the basics of shorting, you can read about the details that I didn’t cover. Some good places to start are:

Categories
funny The Current Situation

Obama’s Shortlist for VP

Obama\'s shortlist for VP
Found by Miss Fipi Lele, created by Lee Camp.

Categories
funny The Current Situation

Steven Colbert on Jeremiah Wright

I absolutely love this clip:

Here’s a transcript of the last bit of the clip:

Colbert: When you see or hear things that are bad are going on in your church, you get up and you walk out! That’s what Catholics like me, and Papa Bear [his nickname for Bill O’Reilly] and Sean Hannity understand. You leave that church!

Unless it’s, you know, widespread decades-long rumours of sexual abuse. In that case, you gotta give it time. The church has its own processes; we don’t understand it!

The point is, all any Catholic pundits and Catholic politicans who may be criticizing Obama are saying is: “Do as we say, not as we didn’t”.

Categories
The Current Situation

If We Hired Like We Vote

“Non Sequitur” comic, titled “If we hired like we vote”: “Well, you seem right for the job, but there’s something your pastor said 7 years ago that bothers me. Let me read it to you out of context…”

Categories
The Current Situation

Bill O’Reilly Loses His Cool [Updated]

Update, May 13, 2008: The original video got yanked, but I’ve posted another copy in its place.

Here’s a great video that’s making the internet rounds: right-wing attack dog Bill O’Reilly, losing his cool and turning into an eight-year-old upon encountering the phrase “play us out”, a term that anyone who’s been in a TV studio at least a couple of times has encountered. Be warned, he bursts into a potty-mouthed temper tantrum and lets fly with the f-word:

This is from his days on the television news tabloid program Inside Edition, which he hosted from 1989 to 1995. I remember thinking that Inside Edition was about as trashy as television got, but that was well before The O’Reilly Factor.

Categories
The Current Situation

The Dutch Pay HOW MUCH for Gas?!

Dutch blogger George Maschke reminds us that although our gas prices may seem high here in North America (it’s about CDN$1.23 / litre in Accordion City) — high enough that Republican presidential candidate John McCain has suggested a gas tax holiday — they’d be considered a king-sized bargain in the Netherlands. He took this photo of the price sign at his neighbourhood gas station in The Hague on Saturday, May 10th; note that they’re in Euro per litre:

Sign showing gas prices in the Netherlands
Photo by George Maschke.

George did a little math and converted the Dutch prices so that they’d be expressed in U.S. dollars per gallon; I simply did the Euro-to-Canadian dollar conversions to get the prices in terms of Canadian dollars per litre. The results of our calculations appear in the table below:

Gasoline grade Dutch price Dutch price in Canadian dollars per litre Dutch price in American dollars per gallon
Regular €1.559 / litre CDN$2.43 / litre US$9.14 / gallon
Premium €1.673 / litre CDN$2.60 / litre US$9.81 / gallon
Diesel €1.359 / litre CDN$2.11 / litre US$7.96 / gallon

No wonder there’s such a strong bicycle culture in the Netherlands! (Yes, their urban geography helps too.)

Keep these Dutch prices in mind should the predictions of gas hitting CDN$1.50 per litre this summer come true.

Categories
The Current Situation

So Long, and Thanks for All the Melting Walls (or: R.I.P. Albert Hofmann)

Albert Hoffman, discoverer of lysergic acid diethylamide (LSD) and the man personally responsible for a lot of lost weekends (and possibly Burning Man), died yesterday at the age of 102.

Albert Hofmann, holding a model of the LSD molecule in front of a psychedelic background.

Here’s the quick version of the story of his discovery of LSD, excerpted from Wired News:

Hofmann’s most famous discovery happened on April 16, 1943. He was researching the synthesis of a lysergic acid compound, LSD-25, when he inadvertently absorbed a bit through his fingertips. Intrigued by the effect it had on his perception, Hofmann decided further exploration was warranted. Three days later, on April 19, he ingested 250 micrograms of LSD, embarking on the first full-fledged acid trip. That day became known among LSD fans as “bicycle day” because Hofmann began experiencing the drug’s intense effects on his bicycle trip home from the lab.

For more on Dr. Hofmann’s life and passing, here are some links:

In tribute to Dr. Hofmann, here’s an excellent video treatment of William Shatner’s cover of Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds, complete with kitschy Star Trek and I Love Lucy graphics: