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If Pre-Flight Announcements Were Truthful, Revisited

In my last entry, I posted a link to an Economist piece in which they presented a pre-flight announcement that would be made if airlines told the truth. Some readers have stated in the comments that the statements in the article are incorrect, so I did some looking around. Here’s what I found.

Water Landings

In the Economist article, the hypothetical flight attendant stated that “in the history of aviation the number of wide-bodied aircraft that have made successful landings on water is zero”. This is probably based on an article they published in December 2002 titled Help! There’s nobody in the cockpit! In the article, they quote Paul Jackson, editor of Jane’s All the World’s Aircraft, who asserts that a commercial airliner’s engines, which hang in “pods” beneath the wings, make such a landing almost impossible.

Wikipedia counters this assertion by listing a number of commerical airliners, at least one of which is a wide-body, which have had water landings and survivors.

Cell Phones on Planes

Here’s what was said in the pre-flight announcement:

Please switch off all mobile phones, since they can interfere with the aircraft’s navigation systems. At least, that’s what you’ve always been told. The real reason to switch them off is because they interfere with mobile networks on the ground, but somehow that doesn’t sound quite so good. On most flights a few mobile phones are left on by mistake, so if they were really dangerous we would not allow them on board at all, if you think about it. We will have to come clean about this next year, when we introduce in-flight calling across the Veritas fleet. At that point the prospect of taking a cut of the sky-high calling charges will miraculously cause our safety concerns about mobile phones to evaporate.

An anonymous commenter wrote:

The part about not using cell phones in the article isn’t quite right. The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers did a study on real cross-country flights using a spectrum analyzer and found that the amount of power in critical bands was enough to potentially disrupt flight systems. It may be true that some airlines will eventually install base stations in aircraft, but in that case the power transmitted by the cell phones will be very low (the base station tells the mobiles how much power to use) and will not disrupt flight systems.

According to the FCC, the ban currently exists for both reasons: interference with ground networks and flight systems.

The FCC is currently looking into allowing cell phone use in-flight if the plane is equipped with a “pico cell”, a small specialized cellular base station installed onboard the aircraft. As the anonymous commenter says, having such a device as a go-between would reduce the radio power output of the cell phones (because they’d no longer be expending energy trying to reach ground-based cell antennas.)

Seats Facing Backwards on Military Transport Planes

In the hypothetical pre-flight announcement, the flight attendant also states that in military aircraft, seats are rear-facing because they are safer in the event of a crash. In the comments, Chris Taylor wrote:

On airlifters such as the C-130 and C-17, their integral seating arrangement is sideways (on sidewall and centerline seating), not facing the rear ramp. If they are flying in a troop airdrop configuration then the seating is stowed completely and the troops sit on the aircraft floor. When using seating pallets, those seats will be installed facing the front of the aircraft.

Very rarely do strategic or tactical airlifters fly with rear-facing seats these days.

Patrick Smith, author of Salon.com’s Ask the Pilot, states in a recent column that “It’s common to find rear-facing seats on military transports and some private craft.”

If any readers, particularly those who fly on military transport, want to chime in, please do!

Is Facing Backwards Safer?

That still leaves the question of whether backwards-facing seats on planes is safer. First let’s look to a form of transport where crashes are way more common: the automobile. One of the hidden upsides of lots of crashes is lots of crash data. The consensus based on this data is that backwards-facing seats are safer. Hence the design of safety seats for babies and very young children: they’re rear-facing.

(By the way, according to Ask the Pilot, although there was an Airbus A300 crash in November 2001 that got everyone scared about flying, there were only 34 airline fatalities between then and February 2005. During that time, about 1.5 billion other passengers — 8 orders of magnitude, or 100 million times more — flew and lived to tell the tale.)

This guy believes that rear-facing airline seats would save lives in the rare event of a crash and has been leading a largely fruitless campaign. Boeing 777 pilot Captain Lim of the site Ask Captain Lim writes:

Theoretically speaking, the safest seat is one that is facing to the back of the aircraft. Why is it so? A backward facing seat gives better protection to a passenger in the event of an impact because of the back cushioning effect on the body. However this is not proven in a major impact!

Ask the Pilot’s Patrick Smith concurs, and both he and Lim state that it’s passenger preference that keeps seats facing forward. I can understand that: my late Dad, a man with a medical degree, refused to make use of a Cathay Pacific sleeper berth, claiming he wanted to be sitting up “in case of a crash”. As the whole War on Terror has proven, when it comes to the perception of safety, emotion often clouds intellect.

There’s another reason why airlines are loath to make seats face backwards: marketing. The minute an airline does this, they’d have to explain why, and safety would be one of the reasons. The airline industry is not like the auto industry; they can’t market on safety. Once again, I quote Patrick Smith:

…there’s a risk factor that compels the airlines into a collective honesty. With casualties so rare, the statistical swing from a “safe” airline to a “dangerous” one hinges on select few events drawn from thousands, or even millions, of departures. Reputations can be lost through a single act of folly or stroke of lousy luck. Quite understandably, airlines have no desire to put their competitive eggs in such a precarious basket.

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If Pre-Flight Announcements Were Truthful [Updated]

Update: See this entry, which comments on this article.


Picture of midgets pulling a plane
Another thing airlines don’t want you to know: this is how your plane actually pulls away from the gate.

Over at the site for one of my favourite magazines, The Economist, they’ve got a more truthful version of the announcment that the chief flight attendant makes as your plane pulls away from the gate.

Here’s the first part:

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. We are delighted to welcome you aboard Veritas Airways, the airline that tells it like it is. Please ensure that your seat belt is fastened, your seat back is upright and your tray-table is stowed. At Veritas Airways, your safety is our first priority. Actually, that is not quite true: if it were, our seats would be rear-facing, like those in military aircraft, since they are safer in the event of an emergency landing. But then hardly anybody would buy our tickets and we would go bust.

The flight attendants are now pointing out the emergency exits. This is the part of the announcement that you might want to pay attention to. So stop your sudoku for a minute and listen: knowing in advance where the exits are makes a dramatic difference to your chances of survival if we have to evacuate the aircraft. Also, please keep your seat belt fastened when seated, even if the seat-belt light is not illuminated. This is to protect you from the risk of clear-air turbulence, a rare but extremely nasty form of disturbance that can cause severe injury. Imagine the heavy food trolleys jumping into the air and bashing into the overhead lockers, and you will have some idea of how nasty it can be. We don’t want to scare you. Still, keep that seat belt fastened all the same.

Your life-jacket can be found under your seat, but please do not remove it now. In fact, do not bother to look for it at all. In the event of a landing on water, an unprecedented miracle will have occurred, because in the history of aviation the number of wide-bodied aircraft that have made successful landings on water is zero. This aircraft is equipped with inflatable slides that detach to form life rafts, not that it makes any difference. Please remove high-heeled shoes before using the slides. We might as well add that space helmets and anti-gravity belts should also be removed, since even to mention the use of the slides as rafts is to enter the realm of science fiction.

The full announcement is here. Maybe you shouldn’t read it if flying gives you the willies and you’ll be boarding a plane soon.

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Catmas is Coming!

Now that we’re about halfway to September, the annual event called Catmas (formerly “Blogacatmas”) is drawing near. For those of you not familiar with the tradition, the first Friday of October (Friday, October 6th this year) is the day on which we engage in that most bloggy of blog activities: posting a picture of a cat on our weblogs.

Watch this space for more details, and start saving up those cat pictures!

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The Best Movies You’ve Never Seen

DVD cover for the movie 'Shallow Grave'.

Over at Pajiba.com, there’s an article titled The Best Movies You’ve Never Seen, a list of movies that never got the audience they deserved. I’ve seen only two from the list: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are Dead and the deliciously vicious 1994 film Shallow Grave, featuring a pre-Trainspotting Ewan McGregor.

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I’ll Be Moderating a Panel at ISPCON Fall 2006

ISPCON is the premier conference and networking event for internet service providers of the wired and wireless variety, hosting providers and VOIP services. ISPCON Fall 2006 takes place in Santa Clara, California at the Santa Clara Convention Center from November 7th through 9th.

I’ll be hosting a panel titled What the Web 2.0? What it is, why it matters and where’s the money? on Wednesday, November 8th. I’ll also be wandering about the conference with my accordion at the ready and presumably with some squishy cows to hand out. Perhaps it’s time to call a Silicon Valley geek gathering for one of those nights — the one Ross and I held back in February (with the very able assistance of Tara Hunt and Chris Messina) was quite successful and a lot of fun to boot.

I won’t be the only person from Team Tucows onstage at the conference. My boss Ken Schafer will do his presentation, 30 Rapid-Fire Website Wins, Guaranteed and Fearless Leader Elliot Noss will do a keynote with the Internet’s Adult Supervision, the one and only Doc Searls — it’s called In the Hotseat with Doc: A Fireside Chat.

For more details, check out the latest entry on The Tucows Blog.

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Can You Keep a Secret?

[via reddit] Here’s a nifty little trick: do a Google search for the keyword set confidential “do not distribute”. You should get tens of thousands of results for web pages and other documents.

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Now It Can Be Told: Tucows Bought Kiko

Tucows logo
Kiko Logo

For those of you who follow the news about web companies, you’re probably aware that the web calendaring application Kiko was recently put up for sale on eBay and sold for US$258,100. The only clue to the identity of the buyer was the eBay username “powerjoe1998”.

Well, now that all the i’s have been dotted and the t’s have been crossed, it can now be revealed: it’s us, and by us, I mean the company for whom I hold the title of Technical Evangelist: Tucows.

Want to know more? Check out the article on our new blog: Why We Bought Kiko.com.

I’ve just finished recording a podcast with our CEO, Elliot Noss and our General Manager of Retail Products, Ross Rader. It’ll get posted later this week and will go into more detail about the Kiko acquisition and have a tiny bit about my small but not insignificant role in it.

More about this in upcoming posts.

Want to Find Out More About Kiko?

You try it yourself — go to Kiko.com and get yourself a calendar — or if you’d rather read about it, check out all these links on Reddit.com.